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Original Articles |
From the Cardiovascular Department (B.D.H., J.F.C., J.B.M., T.L.B., J.L.A.), Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah; Genetic Epidemiology Division (B.D.H.), Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of Utah, and Cardiology Division (J.F.C., J.B.M., J.L.A.), Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.
Correspondence to Benjamin D. Horne, PhD, MPH, Cardiovascular Department, Intermountain Medical Center, 5121 S. Cottonwood St., Murray, UT 84157. E-mail benjamin.horne{at}imail.org
Received May 20, 2008; accepted September 3, 2008.
| Abstract |
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25 independent populations, but multiple clinically distinct phenotypes have been evaluated. Using angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD) phenotyping, this study evaluated whether 9p21 single-nucleotide polymorphisms predict ischemic events (eg, myocardial infarction [MI]) among CAD patients. Methods and Results— Patients undergoing coronary angiography during 1994 to 2007 (population set 1A: n=1748; set 1B: n=1014) were evaluated for association of a 9p21 tagging single-nucleotide polymorphism (rs2383206, A 224 G) with incident MI and death events among patients with angiographically significant CAD. Another hypothesis evaluated rs2383206 in 2 additional angiographic sets of both CAD and non-CAD patients (set 2A: n=2122; set 2B: n=1466) for prevalent MI versus CAD/no MI (and for MI versus non-CAD and CAD/no MI versus non-CAD). No association of rs2383206 was found with events in set 1A (odds ratio, 0.95 per G allele; P trend=0.48) and set 1B (odds ratio, 0.91 per G allele; P trend=0.28) or with MI versus CAD/no MI in set 2A (odds ratio, 0.96 per G allele; P trend=0.57) and set 2B (odds ratio, 0.89 per G allele; P trend=0.21). In contrast, rs2383206 was associated with CAD/no MI compared with non-CAD (set 2A: P trend=0.0001; set 2B: P trend=0.0008).
Conclusions— The chromosome 9p21 locus was not associated with incident events or prevalent MI, although it did predict CAD diagnosis. This contradicts reports of a 9p21 association with MI, likely because of differences in phenotype assignment. This suggests that high-quality phenotyping for CAD and MI is required to dissect the specific contributions of genetic variation to each stage of coronary heart disease pathophysiology.
Key Words: atherosclerosis coronary disease epidemiology genetics myocardial infarction
| Introduction |
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25 independent case-control populations.1–9 The first widely replicated genetic association of a common sequence variant for CHD, 9p21 has been associated with coronary artery disease (CAD), coronary revascularization, ischemic events, coronary calcium, myocardial infarction (MI), cerebrovascular event, and composite CHD phenotypes.1–9
Editorial see p 81
Clinical Perspective see p 85
Although interrelated, these phenotypes are clinically distinct manifestations. Pathophysiologic understanding and clinical decisions may vary substantially based on which phenotype is used (eg, coronary calcification versus CAD versus MI), thus it is not yet clear how 9p21 affects CHD pathogenesis or how testing for 9p21 variants will guide patient care.
Furthermore, most populations evaluated for 9p21 used controls that were apparently healthy (ie, no CHD history) or free from CHD events during follow-up.1–9 A few defined the control phenotype by coronary angiography (Pennsylvania and Durham,2 South Korea,6 and Utah9). With such high-quality CAD phenotyping from this most widely accepted method of CAD assessment, both control and case phenotype refinement is possible. This may be critical since the onset of atherosclerosis, its progression and severity, and the precipitation of clinical events are likely predicted by unique sets of genetic variants.10,11
This study evaluated whether single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 9p21 predict incident events (ie, MI/death) and prevalent MI in addition to CAD diagnosis.
| Methods |
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The primary hypothesis was that chromosome 9p21 SNPs are associated with incident coronary events (ie, nonfatal MI or death) among CAD patients during longitudinal follow-up after hospital discharge. The second hypothesis was that 9p21 SNPs are associated with prevalent MI among CAD patients at the time of angiography. Confirmatory hypotheses compared MI versus non-CAD and CAD without MI (ie, CAD/no MI) versus non-CAD patients.
Definitions of Phenotypes
Nested case-control populations (Table 1) were developed among CAD patients for incident MI/death events versus no event (population sample set 1) and for prevalent CAD (including CAD with MI and CAD without MI) versus non-CAD patients (population set 2). For each phenotype, an initial test population sample (set A) and a second replication sample (set B) were created, thus 4 sets were evaluated: 1A, 1B, 2A, and 2B.
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1 lesion of
70% stenosis). The mild-to-moderate CAD phenotype was excluded as indeterminate. In sets 2A and 2B, prevalent MI was defined as any MI in the patients history or acute MI at the index hospital admission, representing an initial MI before treatment. MIs were determined from Intermountain Healthcares electronic record repository and ruled-in by ECG and biomarker measurements. Biomarker evidence was a CK-MB >6 mg/dL and a CK-MB index >3% in the appropriate clinical setting. In the absence of biomarker evidence, MI was defined by ECG criteria if present on multiple clinically indicated ECG recordings. Prior MI without biomarker or ECG evidence was considered a nonevent.
For the incident event population sets (1A and 1B), MI was defined based on the criteria above but was counted only if it occurred after discharge from the index hospitalization. Death events were determined from a query of the Social Security death master file, Utah State Health Department death certificate records, and hospital informatics databases. These MI and death data represent break-through events occurring despite clinical interventions and medical treatments.
Random Population Controls
A population-based control sample was assembled by invitation (letters and follow-up telephone calls) to a randomly selected population-wide sample from the greater Salt Lake City metropolitan area (within a radius
65 miles) based on public records. Responders were scheduled for a clinic appointment where they completed a health-related questionnaire, had vital signs taken, and donated blood for study-related testing. In keeping with prior methods,9 these controls were analyzed in set 2A.
Test and Replication Sets
For patient sets 1A and 1B, cases with incident death or MI and nonevent controls were matched 1:1 for sex, age (±2 years), and nearest date of entry into the registry (maximum: ±1 year). Patients were selected from 1994 to 2003 for the test set and from 1994 to 2007 for the replication set, with all cases meeting the age/sex criteria included in the study (random assignment to the test or replication set was used initially to ensure representative selection of patients).
Set 2A comprised all case patients (and matching controls) enrolled during the years 1994–2002 and the random population controls. This prevalent disease test set (set 2A) overlapped 23% with the incident event test set (set 1A) due to inclusion of some of the same CAD patients in evaluation of both hypotheses. The prevalent disease replication set (set 2B) included all case patients from the years 2003–2007 (and matching controls) and overlapped 42% with the incident event replication set (set 1B). Three-member sets of early onset CAD cases and age-matched controls were selected by matching 2:1 for age, sex, and nearest date of registry entry. Early onset disease was defined as angiographic CAD at age
55 years in men and
65 years in women in set 2A. Because of changing disease demographics, set 2B cases were men
60 years and women
70.
9p21 Genetic Data
Genotyping of rs2383206, rs2383207, rs10757274, and rs10757278 SNPs was performed with 5' exonuclease (Taqman) chemistry on the ABI Prism 7000 (Applied Biosystems, Foster City, Calif).
Clinical Information
Demographic and health history data were obtained from physicians and hospital records, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), ethnicity, smoking status, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and family history of CHD. Smoking was considered present for active smokers or those with a >10 pack-year history. Prevalent diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension were physician-reported from clinical and laboratory findings or were based on current use of relevant medications. For laboratory findings, diabetes was defined as fasting glucose
126 mg/dL; hypertension as systolic blood pressure
140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure
90 mm Hg; and hyperlipidemia as fasting total cholesterol
200 mg/dL or low-density lipoprotein cholesterol
130 mg/dL. Patient-reported family history of CHD was positive if a first-order relative suffered cardiovascular death, MI, or coronary revascularization before age 65 in females or age 55 in males.
Other variables for use in modeling of incident events included prior MI (physician-reported, occurring >30 days before admission), prior cerebrovascular accident (CVA, physician-reported), clinically diagnosed heart failure, and clinical renal failure. Presentation included stable angina (stable exertional symptoms only, including a positive stress test result, or nonanginal indications such as valvular heart disease or presurgical evaluation), unstable angina (progressive symptoms or symptoms at rest), or acute MI. Number of diseased vessels was determined from angiography. Hospital treatment approach included medication only, percutaneous coronary intervention, or coronary bypass surgery. Discharge prescriptions included statins, β-adrenergic receptor blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and diuretics.
Statistical Considerations
Selecting one or a few SNPs to "tag" the variance of multiple correlated SNPs that are in linkage disequilibrium (LD) reduces the number of tests of association and, thus, limits the need to correct for multiple comparisons. LD group analysis was used before association analysis to select a tagging SNP (tSNP) for the 4 9p21 SNPs. Analysis was performed in sets 1A and 2A, and used a previously described factor analysis method that extracts LD groups and tSNPs using the principal component approach.12 Pair-wise LD was plotted using Haploview (http://www.broad.mit.edu/mpg/haploview) for visual evaluation of LD group structure.
Differences by genotype were tested for cases compared with controls using the Armitage test of trend, assuming an agnostic additive genetic model. Multivariable logistic regression provided adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CI. For all multivariable models, included covariables were BMI, ethnicity, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, smoking, and family history of CHD. For multivariable incident event models, additional covariables were heart failure, renal failure, prior MI, prior CVA, presentation, number of diseased vessels, in-hospital treatment modality, and discharge prescriptions. Cox regression was not used for incident event analysis because nonevent patients were matched to events by time period and follow-up averaged 6.7 and 3.6 years for sets 1A and 1B, respectively13; further, post hoc analysis confirmed that Cox results approximated those from logistic regression.
Further SNP analysis was performed for the Duke CAD Index, number of diseased vessels, left main coronary disease, ostial disease, and proximal disease.14,15 These associations used the test for linear contrasts in analysis of variance or the Armitage test of trend, as appropriate.
Schunkert et al8 (see Table 2) provides data for "pooled CAD only MI" (ie, MI) cases and "pooled CAD without MI" (ie, CAD/no MI) cases. The case groups were not compared previously,8 thus fixed effects logistic regression tested those data for the association of rs1333049 genotype frequencies (C=risk allele8) with MI versus CAD/no MI for further examination of 9p21 associations with MI.
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=0.05). Given the a priori selection of one tSNP that accounted for the variance of the 4 SNPs, no correction for multiple comparisons was performed for SNPs, but due to the 2 tests of hypothesis for incident events and 6 tests for prevalent MI and CAD, correction for multiple comparisons required 2-tailed probability values to be designated as significant at P
0.00625. The authors had full access to and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written. | Results |
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Association of 9p21 With Incident Events
Set 1A (Test Set)
Longitudinal patient follow-up averaged 6.7±2.1 years (maximum, 10.9 years) and 48% of cases were nonfatal MI. No association with events was found for rs2383206 (Figure 2). For AA, AG, and GG genotypes, events occurred in 51%, 50%, and 48% of patients, respectively (OR, 0.95 per G allele [CI, 0.83, 1.09]; P trend=0.48). Adjustment for hypertension, hyperlipidemia, ethnicity, BMI, diabetes, smoking, CHD family history, prior MI, prior CVA, heart failure, renal failure, presentation, coronary anatomy, interventional treatment type, and medical prescriptions did not affect this result (OR, 0.94 per G allele [CI, 0.82, 1.08]; P trend=0.38). Post hoc analysis also found no association for rs10757274 (P trend=0.74), rs2383207 (P trend=0.67), and rs10757278 (P trend=0.66).
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Post Hoc Power Calculations for sets 1A and 1B
With its sample size, set 1A had 95% power to detect an OR of 1.29 for risk of incident events. Similarly, given its sample size, set 1B had 80% power to detect an OR of 1.29 for incident events. Assuming the AA genotype had the same proportion of MI as found in sets 1A and 1B (ie, 51%), this study had 80% power to detect an OR of 1.21 per allele in set 1A and an OR of 1.28 per allele in set 1B.
Prevalent Disease Associations
Set 2A (Test Set)
Among those with angiographically defined CAD, no association of rs2383206 with prevalent MI was found compared with CAD/no MI. MI was present in 53% (AA), 46% (AG), and 48% (GG), providing an OR of 0.96 per G allele (CI=0.80, 1.14) and a P trend of 0.57. Adjustment for ethnicity, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, smoking, family history, and BMI did not alter this finding (adjusted OR, 0.96 per G allele; P trend=0.62). In post hoc comparison, rs10757274 (P trend=0.35), rs2383207 (P trend=0.68), and rs10757278 (P trend=0.37) also did not predict MI versus CAD/no MI.
For the comparison of CAD/no MI (n=546) versus non-CAD (n=1072), CAD was present in 26%, 33%, and 39% of patients (P=0.0001) with AA, AG, and GG genotype, respectively (Table 3). A similar finding was recorded for the comparison of MI (n=504) versus non-CAD, with MI found in 26%, 28%, and 36% of patients (P trend=0.003) for AA, AG, and GG genotype, respectively (Table 3). These results were similar when adjusted for ethnicity, BMI, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, smoking, and family history of early CHD (data not shown).
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As in set 2A for CAD/no MI (n=708) versus non-CAD (n=489), CAD was found in 52%, 59%, and 65% of patients (P trend=0.0008) for AA, AG, and GG, respectively (Table 3). For MI (with CAD, n=269) versus non-CAD, MI was present in 29%, 40%, and 37% of patients (P trend=0.12) for AA, AG, and GG, respectively (Table 3). These results were similar when adjusted for ethnicity, BMI, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, smoking, and family history of early CHD (data not shown).
9p21 Association With Severity, Extent, and Location of CAD
No association by rs2383206 genotype was found for the mean number of severely diseased vessels or Duke CAD Index (Table 4). Analysis of the location of CAD revealed no consistent association of genotype with left main, proximal, or ostial disease (Table 4).
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| Discussion |
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In contrast, rs2383206 was highly associated in patient sets 2A and 2B with the diagnosis of CAD (excluding patients with MI) when compared with non-CAD patients. Those associations were robust, with significance probabilities that withstood conservative correction for multiple comparisons. Association of rs2383206 was also present in patient sets 2A and 2B for MI cases (who have CAD) compared with non-CAD patients, but these did not achieve the corrected threshold for statistical significance. These findings support prior association reports for 9p21 SNPs,1–8 but for CAD initiation only. The lack of association of 9p21 variation with extent and severity of CAD was surprising, however, but was consistent when analyzed in multiple ways (Table 4). The explanation for this apparent paradox will require additional study.
Clinical Basis for This Finding
Clinically, the phenotypes of MI and other coronary events (eg, death) are not equal to the presence of coronary atherosclerosis (Figure 3). CAD may eventually manifest as acute coronary thrombotic occlusion, MI, and death, often due to the rupture of an unstable plaque,16–18 but this usually occurs to plaques with a thin, eroded fibrous cap, regardless of the degree of narrowing.18,19 Many patients live to advanced age with stable, significant CAD and never experience an MI. These clinical phenotypic differences were found previously to be important in genetic association studies of CAD and MI for a variety of genes, including CETP and ALOX5AP.10,11 The importance of such distinctions cannot be overstated if pathophysiologic mechanisms are to be understood in scientific laboratories and if genetic markers are to be applied to clinical disease diagnosis and treatment decisions in medical practice.
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The pertinent example of this is a test of association of sequence variants with MI cases compared with apparently healthy controls. That comparison may detect variants predisposing to MI, as is intuitively obvious, or it may reveal sequence variants that are predictive of various preceding stages of atherosclerosis that occurred leading up to the MI. The lack of knowledge about the coronary status of the controls or the use of normal controls clouds the interpretation. In contrast, if MI-free individuals with existing CAD are defined as the control group, the hypothesis test takes on new meaning.
Phenotype assignment is also important for cases because it enables clear separation of distinct clinical conditions, such as acute coronary events (eg, MI) from stable atherosclerosis (ie, CAD without MI). The need for this was evidenced herein both by a weaker association of 9p21 with MI compared with non-CAD, supporting the findings of prior studies,5,8 and by the lack of association of 9p21 with MI (versus CAD/no MI) and incident events (versus CAD/no event). These findings support the concept that acute events and CAD differ pathologically and clinically.10,11,16–19
Poor phenotyping may lead to a wasting of effort and resources on unneeded investigations of disease pathophysiology, mistaken evaluation of potential therapeutic interventions, incorrect categorization of a patients risk of expressing a specific phenotype, and improper assignment of genetically individualized treatments. As a special example, some companies today are marketing diagnostic tests for MI that use variants at the 9p21 locus, but this study suggests that this may lead to unnecessary and improper clinical actions.
Need for Greater Clarity in CHD Genetic Studies
This studys findings suggest that the design of genetic association studies should be more precisely incorporated into an overall investigative framework. For example, large-scale epidemiological studies using less precisely defined phenotypes might be used to discover regions of potential interest. These should be followed by additional studies that better examine the role of the variant for precisely defined disease phenotypes.
The subsequent studies should be designed to clearly define the clinically distinct phenotypes of MI, CAD without MI (which may be further subcategorized by the need for coronary revascularization or other measures of CAD severity or extent of atherosclerosis), non-CAD (eg, angiographically phenotyped), and apparently healthy population normals (with lack of the phenotype serving as a surrogate indicator that the individual is a control but the recognition that this control group may be polluted by subclinical CAD cases).
Further subphenotypes are possible and should be considered, such as diffuse arterial disease (which often occurs in diabetics) compared with focal lesions, or location of coronary disease (left main, proximal, or ostial compared with medial or distal) because location of atherosclerosis and other lesion characteristics may be inherited.15 The phenotype differentiations may also be extended to categorizations of CVA, presence of carotid disease without CVA, and lack of both CVA and carotid atherosclerosis.
Careful assignment of cardiovascular phenotypes will aid in the interpretation of which sequence variants are involved in the initiation/facilitation (ie, onset), and amplification/acceleration (ie, severity) of atherosclerosis, and in the precipitation of an acute event (Figure 3; see also reference 20). Some methods of phenotype assignment are less accurate or precise than angiography (eg, coronary calcium scanning),21,22 thus, the limitations of these methods should be considered carefully before study initiation and their relative merits considered in the interpretation and reporting of genetic associations. Additionally, new methods are being developed to noninvasively measure disease presence or to quantify the stability of plaque, and these should be integrated into the standardized framework as they are implemented so that their relative value is clear.
Strengths and Limitations
Despite that angiography is the most widely used, validated, and accepted quantitative method of CAD assessment, limitations to its research application may include that referral for angiography involves patient selection based on criteria that may make it difficult to generalize findings to the general population. However, adjustment for known cardiac risk factors and variables did not influence the findings in this study. Further, for previously unknown risk factors such as chromosome 9p21 SNPs, such selection bias does not exist.9 Also, although patients are referred for angiography based on selection factors, it is clear which patients have and do not have CAD. Finally, the ORs for carriage of the risk allele in the comparisons of CAD to non-CAD patients and MI to non-CAD patients in population sets 2A and 2B herein were similar to those reported by prior studies of 9p21 SNPs,1–8 thus, it is unlikely that this studys patient sample is of lesser quality than those previously studied populations. Yet, unmeasured confounders may remain and other factors such as ethnic composition require further study to confirm these novel findings. The cross-sectional observation of a lack of influence of 9p21 variation on CAD extent, as opposed to prevalence, although consistent for several measures, should also be validated by prospective, longitudinal studies.
| Conclusions |
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| Acknowledgments |
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This study was funded by National Institutes of Health grant HL071878.
Disclosures
None.
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CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE
Genetic variation at 9p21 represents the first widely replicated association of a common sequence variant with coronary heart disease (CHD). However, the clinical CHD phenotype studied has varied widely across a broad clinical spectrum of cardiovascular disease phenotypes, including myocardial infarction (MI), angina pectoris, coronary revascularization, angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD), coronary calcification, carotid intimal thickening/plaque, cerebrovascular events, cerebral or aortic aneurysms, and various composite CHD/cardiovascular disease phenotypes. Although interrelated and overlapping, these phenotypes also represent clinically and pathophysiologically distinct manifestations of atherothrombotic disease. Thus, it has not been clear which stages of CHD expression are associated with 9p21. Further, control populations not angiographically assessed, as often used in these studies, may harbor an appreciable percentage of cases with subclinical CAD. This study sought to clarify the specific CHD phenotype associated with 9p21 by using coronary angiography to precisely define the prevalence and the extent of CAD in a large cohort of prospectively assembled cases and controls. We first tested for an association of the 9p21 tagging single-nucleotide polymorphism (rs2383206) with incident MI/death among patients with preexisting angiographic CAD. No association was observed with incident death/MI in either the initial or the replication samples. We next compared association of the 9p21 variant with prevalent MI versus CAD/no MI status. Again, no association was observed. In contrast, an important association of the single-nucleotide polymorphism was observed with CAD prevalence (but not extent). These results suggest that the 9p21 locus variant may be associated with initiation of CAD rather than with the occurrence of MI.
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