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Original Article |
1 Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany;
2 Federal Armed Forces Hospital, Koblenz, Germany;
3 Johannes-Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany
4 E-mail: wollert.kai{at}mh-hannover.de
Background—Growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a stress-responsive TGF-β-related cytokine that has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) trial populations. Its predictive role in stable coronary heart disease (CHD) has never been assessed.
Methods and Results—The circulating levels of GDF-15 were measured by immunoradiometric assay in patients with stable angina pectoris (SAP, n=1352) or ACS (n=877) who were followed for a median of 3.6 years. SAP patients presenting with normal (<1200 ng/L), moderately elevated (1200-1800 ng/L), or markedly elevated (>1800 ng/L) GDF 15 levels had 3.6-year CHD mortality rates of 1.4, 2.7, and 15.0%, respectively (P<0.001). By backward stepwise Cox-regression analysis, that adjusted for age and gender, clinical variables, the number of diseased vessels, renal function, the levels of C-reactive protein, cardiac troponin I, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, GDF 15 remained an independent predictor of CHD mortality (P<0.001). Addition of GDF-15 improved the prognostic accuracy of a clinical risk prediction model concerning CHD mortality (c-statistic, 0.84 vs. 0.74; P=0.005). Analysis of the ACS part of the study population confirmed GDF-15 as an independent predictor of CHD mortality (P<0.001). The circulating levels of GDF-15 did not predict the future risk of non-fatal myocardial infarction in patients with SAP or ACS.
Conclusions—This study identifies GDF-15 as a strong and independent predictor of CHD mortality across the broad spectrum of patients with stable and unstable CHD.
Key Words: coronary disease biomarker growth-differentiation factor-15 outcome
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